Hurricane Trudy eyes Category 4 strength as Mexico braces for heavy rain

Trudy is gaining strength offshore, raising the risk of flooding and mudslides across parts of Mexico this weekend.

Hurricane Trudy intensified rapidly overnight, becoming a Category 3 hurricane off Mexico's Pacific coast, as the eastern Pacific hurricane season approaches a significant milestone.

Trudy is the tenth hurricane to form in the Eastern Pacific this year. It is also the first time since 2018 that the basin has seen ten major hurricanes, indicating an unusually active season.

The storm is expected to intensify further through Friday, possibly reaching Category 4 status as it churns offshore.

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Trudy could strengthen before weakening near shore

Trudy is expected to maintain Category 4 strength through Saturday before gradually weakening as it approaches the coast. For the time being, a direct landfall is unlikely, as high pressure builds over Mexico, helping to steer the storm away from the coast.

Mexico, Hurricane, Storm, Rain, Mudslide, Trudy, Flooding, October 16, 2026. (The Weather Network)

However, the forecast track may still bring severe weather to parts of southwestern and west-central Mexico. Even without a direct hit, a powerful hurricane passing close by can cause dangerous coastal conditions and torrential rains.

Trudy's longer-range movement could be similar to Hurricane Simon, which stalled offshore near the Baja California peninsula.

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Flooding and mudslides possible this weekend

As Trudy moves further offshore, forecast rainfall totals have been reduced to between 100 and 150 millimeters. Despite the change, that amount of rain may still cause flooding and mudslides in vulnerable areas by the weekend.

Mexico, Hurricane, Storm, Flood, Rain, Mudslide, Trudy, October 16, 2026. (The Weather Network)

Damaging winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall remain the most serious threats, particularly along the coast. The risk will be determined by Trudy's eventual track, intensity and proximity to land.

Hurricane and tropical storm warnings are in effect for parts of the Mexican coast and residents should monitor local forecasts and follow emergency officials' instructions.

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