March Break: After a messy start, what's ahead for Ontario?

Digital WritersThe Weather Network
Digital Writers

The weekend is ending off on a messy note for March Break in southern Ontario. What's the rest of the week looking like?

The first weekend of March Break has been a messy one for people looking forward to some time off, and while the week ahead is set to be relatively warmer, there's another, late-week low pressure system forecasters are watching. What to expect, below.

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MESSY SYSTEM END TO THE WEEKEND

An incoming low pressure system that's brought snow, rain and a brief spell of freezing rain to the province overnight Saturday has effects lingering into Sunday, though fortunately few flight cancellations have resulted for travellers jetting off somewhere warmer.

Those having a staycation are looking at gusty winds Sunday, as well as snow continuing for people in central and eastern Ontario, where a solid 10-20 cm is possible for the region east of Georgian Bay through to the Quebec border, including Ottawa.

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Beyond, a brief break is ahead Monday mid-morning to the afternoon, but wrap-around snow returns in the evening, easing into the night.

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AHEAD: SOME MILD DAYS, LATE WEEK RAIN RISK

Mid-next week is shaping up to be the time that would be best for outdoor activities, as that high pressure brings dry and mainly clear conditions to the region on Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will also slowly start to climb above seasonal ahead of the next incoming system later in the week.

A more northerly storm track for the next Colorado low will mean the bulk of the action will remain in far northern Ontario. Models are currently pulling the rain as far north as Timmins. Southern Ontario will remain far enough away from the centre of the system to avoid the bulk of the precipitation, yet be able to reap the benefits of the southerly flow ahead of the system. Temps will likely reach the teens across southwest Ontario Thursday.

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The mix of above seasonal temperatures, rainfall, and melting snow has the potential to create localized flooding conditions within the region.

No matter how you choose to enjoy the upcoming break, stay safe and be sure to check your local forecast for the most up-to-date weather information in your area.

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