Chris weakens to post-tropical cyclone, moves away from US
Thursday, July 12, 2018, 11:51 - Chris weakened to a post-tropical cyclone on Thursday from a hurricane as it raced towards Cape Race and the Avalon peninsula of Newfoundland, the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.
The cyclone is about 275 miles (440 km) southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland, with maximum sustained winds of 70 miles per hour (110 km per hour), the Miami-based weather forecaster said.
"On the forecast track, Chris is expected to pass over or near the Avalon Peninsula of southeastern Newfoundland late afternoon and early evening today," wrote the NHC in a statement Thursday.
Slight weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, added forecasters.
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- Local hurricane and tropical storm warnings in effect offshore waters along the Mid-Atlantic, dropping south to north through Thursday
- Chris expected to strengthen through early Wednesday before rapidly weakening
- Center is forecast to remain well east of the Eastern Seaboard
Below: The defined eye of Hurricane Chris on Tuesday afternoon
REMNANTS OF BERYL
While former tropical storm Beryl degenerating to a remnant low on Sunday, NHC forecasters are still watching the leftover disturbance for possible redevelopment late week. The disturbance was expected to take a northward turn near the Bahamas by Thursday, which would take it back into more favorable territory in terms of wind shear and water temperatures - making it possible that this low may spark another tropical cyclone. We'll be watching this closely as the week goes on.
"Little or no development is expected through Friday while the system moves northeastward," noted the NHC in an updated outlook Thursday morning. "However, environmental conditions could become a little more favorable over the weekend when the disturbance will be moving northward over the warm waters of the western Atlantic and interacting with a strong upper-level trough."
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with the remnants of Beryl was located about midway between the Bahamas and Bermuda on Thursday.
ALTERATIONS MADE TO 2018 HURRICANE PREDICTIONS
Last week, the tropical meteorology research team at Colorado State University (CSU) Department of Atmospheric Sciences made adjustments to the original Atlantic Hurricane season forecast released back in early April. Initially forecasters anticipated a slightly above average Atlantic hurricane season, but no repeat of the 2017 season which was one of the most active and destructive this century.
With over a month of the season consumed, there has been very little activity, although the season will most likely pick-up as we move into the peak months of August and September. The new numbers released by CSU now shown a total of 14 named storms (average 12), 6 hurricanes (average 6.5) and 2 major hurricanes category 3 or stronger (average 2).
The only storm accounted for this season before Beryl is Alberto, a subtropical system that formed on May 25th in the Caribbean Sea and made landfall a few days later in Laguna Beach, Florida. With Alberto forming before June 1st, the official start of the hurricane season, this is the fourth consecutive year in which a preseason storm forms.
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With files from Weather Network meteorologists Dr. Mario Picazo and Caroline Floyd