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More unsettled weather to come this week, but signs of winter by the weekend.

This week's UK weather: Winter thermals out?


Tiffany Curnick
Meteorologist

Monday, November 16, 2015, 11:16 GMT -

It looks like this very mild November is coming to an end as temperatures take a plunge at the end of this week. The mild, wet and windy weather will continue to Thursday with the risk of further flooding, but by Friday northerly winds bring Arctic air and wintry showers.

Monday

Windy in Scotland on Monday with blustery showers, some heavy with hail at times and falling as sleet and snow over the Highlands. More persistent rain in northern and western Scotland later in the day. Wind warnings in place for the Western Isles, Northern Isles and far west of the mainland with gusts of 65-75mph possible. Elsewhere, a largely dry start with some brighter spells, especially in the east. Rain arriving in southwestern parts of the UK during the late afternoon. Typically temperatures between 8-11C, although milder in the south with highs of 14C in places.

Monday night

Overnight on Monday it will remain largely dry across Northern Ireland, eastern Scotland and northern England with some clear spells. Outbreaks of rain continuing in northern and western Scotland and remaining windy here with gales expected. Elsewhere, cloudy with outbreaks of rain spreading eastwards. Lows of 5-7C in the north and milder in the south with temperatures between 8-10C.

Tuesday

Rain spreading eastwards across Ireland, Wales, England and southern Scotland. The rain will be heavy and persistent at times, bringing the continuing risk of flooding to parts of northern Wales and northern England with rainfall totals of 20-40mm expected - more over higher ground. Thunder is also likely in the heavier bursts of rain. Remaining parts of Scotland will be cloudy with showers in the west. Highs between 8-10C in Scotland and 13-16C further south. It will be windy around the south coast of England during the day and by Tuesday evening there are signs of strong, gusty winds passing through Northern Ireland, Wales, central and southern England, gusting 60mph locally.

Wednesday

The next low pressure system will bring rain to northern and western areas on Wednesday, although a dry start for many. The rain will spread eastwards across the UK with heavier bursts at times. Flood warnings in effect for north Wales and northern England as rainfall totals accumulate after last weeks unsettled weather. Central and southern England will remain largely dry. Temperatures between 8-11C in the north and 12-15C further south.

Thursday

Windy on Thursday with outbreaks of rain for most areas during the morning. The rain will clear eastwards, leaving showers in western areas. Colder northerly winds across Scotland will turn the showers to snow over higher ground. Temperatures between 6-9C in Scotland, although feeling colder in the northerly winds, and 11-14C in the south.

Friday and the weekend

On Friday an area of low pressure pulls away into the North Sea. This brings rain to parts of Ireland, Wales and northern England, with heavy and increasingly wintry showers across Scotland. It may become very windy to with widespread gales and will be feeling much colder. Temperatures at 5°C in northern Scotland and 9°C in southern England.

Then get set for a cold weekend. North to northwesterly winds bringing frequent showers or longer spells of rain, sleet and snow. Most of the snow falling over high ground of Scotland, Northern Ireland, northern England, Wales and the Midlands. However the snow probably will not last long and accumulations at low levels are unlikely. Compared to recent mild weather it will be a shock to the system, especially as the winds pick up. Temperatures generally between 3 to 7°C during the day and frost possible overnight.

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