Wet, potentially stormy conditions to usher in August in Ontario, Quebec

A surge of atmospheric moisture will fuel heavy rain and a thunderstorm risk across Ontario and Quebec this weekend, accompanied by gusty winds at times

With August now here, summer is turning the page on the 2026 season with the end of it slowly creeping up on the horizon.

In Ontario and Quebec, the first weekend of August won't be as pleasant as many are hoping for. Saturday already began on a soggy note for parts of both provinces, with the rain and storm threat on the move south through the day and on Sunday, too.

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Localized flooding will be possible with the rainfall and associated thunderstorm risks.

Stay alert for rapidly changing conditions in your area, and be sure to keep up with the latest watches and warnings as you go about your day.

Rainy, gusty, stormy interruptions in Central Canada this weekend

After a cold front brought heavy rain to parts of Ontario and Quebec on Saturday morning. prompting rainfall warnings with localized accumulations up to 80+ mm, the system will continue to track southeastward through the day.

Ontario precipitation timing Saturday afternoon

It will bring gusty and rainy conditions at times on Saturday.

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Quebec will experience more widespread showers through the Saturday afternoon hours, whereas southern Ontario will see more spotty, scattered precipitation.

As well, there will be a risk of non-severe thunderstorms through the day on Saturday. Heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts will be the main hazards.

Ontario-Quebec storm risk map Saturday

Rain will persist into the overnight hours for portions of southern Ontario and Quebec.

Heading into Sunday morning, showers will become more widespread in southern Ontario with the increase in moisture levels.

The uptick in moisture will lead to higher rainfall totals through the day.

Ontario-Quebec atmospheric moisture Sunday morning

Projected rainfall forecasts:

  • Southern Ontario (on average): 10-20 mm

  • Southwestern Ontario: 15-30 mm

  • Niagara region: 20-40 mm

  • Eastern Ontario and Quebec: 20-40 mm

The primary hazard with Sunday’s storms will be the high rainfall amounts, especially in eastern Quebec and the National Capital Region.

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Ontario-Quebec rainfall through Monday

Not only will there be rain and a storm risk to contend with, the winds will be a bit breezy at times this weekend.

Winds will strengthen on Sunday with gusts reaching 30 to 40 km/h. Through Sunday overnight, areas such as Kingston could see gusts exceeding 45 km/h.

Stay with The Weather Network for the latest updates for Ontario and Quebec.