Rain, storm risk in southern Ontario Tuesday, with more rainfall to follow

A U.S. heat dome is generating a "ring of fire," bringing southern Ontario a risk of thunderstorms, gusty winds, and heavy rain on Tuesday. Additional rainfall is expected in an active storm track

Humidity marks its return to southern Ontario this week as summer plays out the final days in the season.

With southern Ontario's inclusion in the ring of fire situated south of the border, with very hot and humid conditions situated over the Mississippi Valley, folks can expect to see rain and a thunderstorm risk on Tuesday.

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Be sure to stay alert to the changing conditions, and check for any weather warnings in your area.

Sticky air mass as summer not ready to depart, yet

A surface high established over the southern Mississippi Valley means a hot and humid air mass over it and the Southern Plains.

Atmospheric patten North America this week

As a result, the muggy and unsettled air mass will be transported into parts of southern Ontario.

Temperatures across southern Onario will be into the mid-20s, but will feel like the high 20s with the humidex.

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Humidex values will be even higher in the southwest, which will feel more like the low- to mid-30s.

The thunderstorm risk starts later in the day Tuesday, and will linger to the overnight hours across southwestern Ontario. Localized flooding is possible thanks to the moisture-laden air mass, especially if you are caught by a thunderstorm.

Baron - Ontario storm risk - Sept 15

The stalled, frontal boundary will do the southern Ontario wiggle as it meanders a little north and south.

This will lead to high uncertainty in the exact temperature and precipitation forecast.

Areas north of the front it will be generally dry and warm, but for those underneath it will be warm, muggy, and potentially unsettled.

Folks south of the front will be hot and muggy.

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Ontario rainfall next seven days

Southern Ontario enters an active storm track for the rest of the week as a heat dome fuels multiple rounds of showers into the weekend.

A few days of cooler weather are expected early next week but warmer weather is expected to return during the second half of the week. Warmer-than-normal temperatures should dominate during the final week of September.

Stay tuned to The Weather Network for the latest forecast updates for Ontario.

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