High chance of a tropical system targeting Florida this weekend
A tropical disturbance has a high chance of developing into a storm by this weekend as it approaches Florida
Florida is on alert as a tropical disturbance gathering steam over the northern Caribbean takes aim at the state this weekend.
Forecasters give the disturbance a 70 percent (high) chance of developing into a tropical depression or a tropical storm over the next couple of days.
Vacationers are advised to keep a close watch on forecasts over the coming days as this system draws closer to the Sunshine State. Prepare a hurricane kit and stay alert for potential watches, warnings, and evacuation orders as this system progresses.
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A long-watched cluster of thunderstorms moving across the Atlantic Ocean finally reached the Greater Antilles to end the week, bringing cloudy and stormy conditions as it passes through the region.
Environmental conditions around the disturbance will gradually become favourable for tropical development as it moves west-northwest toward Florida this weekend.
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Very warm water temperatures, sufficient humidity, and calmer winds should allow the disturbance to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm by the end of the weekend.
The system would earn the name Debby if it grows into a tropical storm.
Despite confidence that we may see a tropical depression or a tropical storm within the next few days, there remains great uncertainty in its future track and intensity.
A complex environment around the storm will dictate where it tracks as it closes in on Florida. Two centres of high pressure—one over the western Atlantic, another over the southern U.S.—will force the system to slow down just as it’s getting its act together.
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Details on its track and intensity will become clearer on Friday and Saturday, so be sure to check back for the latest.
Regardless of this system’s potential development, flooding rains are possible throughout Florida as the disturbance moves into the region. Flash flooding from heavy rainfall is far and away the greatest threat with any landfalling storm—even one that doesn’t have a name.
Additionally, folks throughout Florida can expect a risk for tornadoes, rough surf, and rip currents as a result of this disturbance.