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Canada's 2014 Spring Outlook

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Tuesday, March 4, 2014, 11:34 AM -

Following a harsh winter, the question on the minds of many Canadians is: will spring ever arrive? To answer the question, The Weather Network’s meteorologists have issued this year’s Spring Outlook, forecasting the months of March, April and May. 


Watch the Regional 2014 Spring OutlooksB.C. | Alberta | Ontario | Atlantic


Spring is typically a volatile season with a variety of weather conditions, and this year will be no different.

The swings in temperature and precipitation that most Canadians have experienced through winter are expected to carry into the spring months.

Forecast models suggest it will be a slow start to the season -- especially across the eastern Prairies and parts of Ontario.

This winter, the pineapple express and polar vortex made headlines but as we move into spring, you may start hearing about nor'easters, particularly in Atlantic Canada.

While spring may not come in like a lion, forecasters say it will show up eventually.

“There’s no doubt Canadians are looking for signs of relief from the cold, wintry conditions and rest assured, you can’t hold back spring,” said Chris Scott, Weather Network Chief Meteorologist.

“While the vice-like grip of arctic air will give much of the country a lingering winter headache to start March, the guarantee of rapidly lengthening days and a higher sun angle mean the first tastes of warmer weather are only a few weeks away.”

This outlook covers the period from March 2014 through May 2014, inclusive (i.e. MAM).


Region Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook
British Columbia Near normal. Below normal forecast for Haida Gwaii and portions of the North Coast. Above normal precipitation in the southeastern interior.
Alberta Below normal in the far northeast. Near normal elsewhere. Above normal in the Rockies and adjacent foothills. Near normal precipitation elsewhere.
Saskatchewan Below normal in the north and east-central regions.  Near normal elsewhere. Near normal.
Manitoba Generally below normal but near normal by the Hudson Bay coast and extreme southwest. Near normal.
Ontario Below normal across the north, except for portions of the Hudson Bay Lowlands where near normal temperatures are forecast.  Near normal across the south and east. Near normal.
Quebec Below normal in the far west of southern Quebec.  Above normal temperatures in the far north.  Near normal elsewhere. Above normal precipitation in the Gaspésie, Anticosti and adjacent far east; as well as far northern sections. Near normal elsewhere.
The Maritimes and Newfoundland Near normal. Above normal in New Brunswick and most of P.E.I as well as southeastern Labrador and most of the Great Northern Peninsula. Near normal precipitation elsewhere.
Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut Near normal in the Yukon and western N.W.T. with below normal in eastern parts and adjacent Nunavut.  Above normal in north-central Nunavut and extreme southern Baffin Island with near normal temperatures elsewhere. Below normal in southwestern Yukon. Above normal across central Baffin Island. Near normal precipitation elsewhere.



A regional breakdown of the spring forecast for select locations has been provided below. Three-month averages are based on the 30-year period 1981 to 2010.


City Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook MAM Average Temperatures MAM Average Precipitation
Vancouver Near normal Near normal High 13.2 
Low 5.6   
Mean 9.4
266.2 mm
Victoria Near normal Near normal High 13.5  
Low 5.6   
Mean 9.0
159.0 mm
Calgary Near normal Near normal High 10.6  
Low -2.3  
Mean 4.2
101.6 mm
Edmonton Near normal Near normal High 10.3  
Low -0.6  
Mean 3.2
91.6 mm
Regina Near normal Near normal High 10.0  
Low -2.6 
Mean 3.7
95.3 mm
Saskatoon Near normal Near normal High 9.4 
Low -2.8 
Mean 3.3
88.0 mm
Winnipeg Below normal Near normal High 9.5   
Low -2.9  
Mean 3.3
112.2 mm
Thunder Bay Below normal Near normal High 8.7  
Low -4.0  
Mean 2.3
149.6 mm
Sudbury Below  normal Near normal High 8.5 
Low -2.4 
Mean 3.1
208.3 mm
Ottawa Near normal Near normal High 10.7 
Low 0.4 
Mean 5.6
225.3 mm
Toronto Near normal Near normal High 11.5  
Low 3.9  
Mean 7.7
209.0 mm
Windsor Near normal Near normal High 13.4
Low 3.3  
Mean 8.4
240.9 mm
Montreal Near normal Near normal High 10.6  
Low 0.5  
Mean 5.6
227.9 mm
Fredericton Near normal Above normal High 9.9 
Low -1.0  
Mean 4.5
278.2 mm
Moncton Near normal Above normal High 9.3 
Low -1.1  
Mean 4.1   
291.6 mm
Charlottetown Near normal Above normal High 7.2  
Low 1.5  
Mean 2.9
277.3 mm
Halifax Near normal Near normal High 8.7  
Low 0.7  
Mean 4.7
374.9 mm
St. John's Near normal Near normal High 5.7 
Low -2.2 
Mean .7
353.5 mm
Iqaluit Near normal Near normal High -9.9  
Low -18.7  
Mean -14.3
76.9 mm
Yellowknife Below normal Near normal High -0.1  
Low -11.3   
Mean -5.7
43.3 mm
Whitehorse Near normal Below normal High 6.2  
Low -5.4  
Mean 0.4
32.6 mm


Watch the Regional 2014 Spring OutlooksB.C. | Alberta | Ontario | Atlantic



A regional breakdown of the spring forecast for select locations has been provided below. Three-month averages are based on the 30-year period 1981 to 2010.


City Temperature Outlook Snowfall Outlook MAM Average Temperatures MAM Average Snowfall
Ottawa Near normal Near normal High 10.7  
Low 0.4   
Mean 5.6
51.4 cm
Montreal Near normal Near normal High 10.6   
Low 0.5    
Mean 5.6
49.3 cm
Sherbrooke Near normal Above normal High 10.0   
Low -2.5   
Mean 3.8
71.8 cm
Trois-Rivières Near normal Near normal High 10.0   
Low -1.0   
Mean 4.5
50.0 cm
Québec Near normal Near normal High 8.3   
Low -1.8  
Mean 3.3
67.0 cm
Rimouski Near normal Above normal High 7.0
Low -1.6  
Mean 2.7
64.2 cm
Saguenay Near normal Near normal High 6.9    
Low -3.5   
Mean 1.7
74.8 cm
Roberval Near normal Near normal High 7.1   
Low -3.7   
Mean 1.7
74.8 cm
Sept-Îles Near normal Above normal High 4.0  
Low -4.8 
Mean 0.4
111.3 cm
Gaspé Near normal Above normal High -4.2  
Low -15.1 
Mean -9.7
218 cm
Val d’Or Below normal Near normal High 7.1   
Low -5.6   
Mean 0.7
80.3 cm


Watch the Regional 2014 Spring OutlooksB.C. | Alberta | Ontario | Atlantic


B.C.'s 2014 Spring Outlook
Alberta's 2014 Spring Outlook
Ontario's 2014 Spring Outlook
Atlantic Canada's 2014 Spring Outlook
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