First tropical depression of the season has a 50 percent chance of developing
Wednesday, May 7, 2014, 11:21 AM - The Eastern Pacific hurricane season doesn't officially begin until May 15, but a broad area of low pressure located southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical disturbance.
According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center, the low pressure system is already producing a "large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms."
"This system has a medium chance...50 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and a medium chance...50 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days," says the NHC.
Regardless of the development, locally heavy rains will begin to affect portions of southwestern Mexico on Wednesday, the NHC adds.
Areas along the Mexican Pacific coast, especially near mountainous terrain, could face a threat of flash flooding and mudslides.
If it gains tropical storm strength, it would be named Amanda.
According to weather.com this early development would be a record breaker.
"If this disturbance becomes a tropical depression or storm in the next few days – the names would be Tropical Depression One-E, then Tropical Storm Amanda – this would be the earliest tropical cyclone of record in the eastern Pacific basin, dating to 1949," says weather.com.
The official start to the Atlantic hurricane season isn't until June 1.
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