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Canada's 2013/14 Winter Outlook

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Tuesday, November 26, 2013, 7:14 PM -

The Weather Network's meteorologists release the Winter Outlook for 2013/14. Find out what's in store in your area.

Most of Canada will experience a changeable, highly variable winter weather pattern meaning periods of storms offset by periods of quiet conditions. While temperatures for most of the country are expected to average close to normal over the winter season, both warm and cold extremes are likely at times.

Watch the Regional 2013/14 Winter Outlooks : B.C. | Alberta | GTA | Atlantic

The expected changeable winter weather pattern is partly due to a lack of El Niño or La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean, which drive global weather patterns. This neutral condition, dubbed ‘La Nada’, means storm tracks are less established and persistent, which leads to highly variable weather in Canada.

“Most regions will see typical temperatures and precipitation, but won’t be locked in to one type of weather for the winter season. Canadians can expect to see a lot of variability in the weather this year,” said Chris Scott, Chief Meteorologist at The Weather Network. “Just as you get used to a certain type of weather, it will likely change.” 

This outlook covers the period from December 2013 through February 2014, inclusive (i.e.: DJF). 

Region Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook
British Columbia Below normal expected for Haida Gwaii; the North and Central Coasts, including inland sections; parts of the Bulkley valley and the Chilcotin; and northern Vancouver Island. Near normal elsewhere. Below normal forecast for Haida Gwaii; the North and Central Coasts, including neighbouring inland sections. Near normal elsewhere.
Alberta Near normal. Near normal.
Saskatchewan Near normal. Near normal.
Manitoba Near normal almost everywhere but a small area of above normal temperatures in the Hudson Bay Lowlands near the Ontario border. Near normal.
Ontario Near normal except for portions of the Hudson Bay Lowlands where above normal temperatures are more likely. Near normal.
Quebec Above normal temperatures in the far north. Near normal across the southern and central tiers of the province. Above normal precipitation in the far north. Near normal across the southern and central tiers of the province.
The Maritimes and Newfoundland Above normal across Nova Scotia and eastern P.E.I along with the southeastern half of Newfoundland. Near normal elsewhere. Near normal almost everywhere except for above normal across the extreme northern part of the Torngat Mountains.
Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut Generally near normal except for islands in northern Hudson Bay and extreme southern Baffin Island. Above normal in southeast coastal Baffin Island and northern Hudson Bay; and in a northwest-southeast stretch from the far northern Yukon and Mackenzie River delta through northern N.W.T to Yellowknife. Near normal elsewhere.

2013 Winter temperature outlook (right click to download).

2013 Winter temperature outlook (right click to download).

A regional breakdown of the winter forecast for select locations has been provided below. Three-month averages are based on the 30-year period 1981 to 2010.

City Temperature Forecast Precipitation Forecast Average temperatures Average Precipitation
Vancouver Near normal Near normal High 7.1
Low 1.3  
Mean 4.2
434.9 mm
Victoria Near normal Near normal High 7.8  
Low 1.3  
Mean 4.6
375.0 mm
Calgary Near normal Near normal High -0.3 
Low -12.5  
Mean -6.4
29.0 mm
Edmonton Near normal Near normal High -5.2 
Low -16.7 
Mean -11.0
47.1 mm
Regina Near normal Near normal High -7.6 
Low -18.2
Mean -12.9
40.4 mm
Saskatoon Near normal Near normal High -8.5
Low -18.9  
Mean -13.7
36.5 mm
Winnipeg Near normal Near normal High -9.3  
Low -19.2 
Mean -14.2
55.2 mm
Thunder Bay Near normal Near normal High -6.2  
Low -18.1 
Mean -12.2
82.0 mm
Sudbury Near normal Near normal High -6.0 
Low -15.5 
Mean -10.8
180.7 mm
Ottawa Near normal Near normal High -3.8 
Low -12.5 
Mean -8.2
196.0 mm
Toronto Near normal Near normal High -0.2 
Low -8.0 
Mean -4.1
157.3 mm
Windsor Near normal Near normal High 0.9 
Low -6.0 
Mean -2.5 
198.4 mm
Montreal Near normal Near normal High -3.3 
Low -11.8 
Mean -7.6
226.6 mm
Fredericton Near normal Near normal High -2.2 
Low -13.1 
Mean -7.7
263.2 mm
Moncton Near normal Near normal High -2.1
Low -12.0 
Mean -7.1  
308.6 mm
Charlottetown Near normal Near normal High -1.9 
Low -10.3 
Mean -6.1
302.2 mm
Halifax Above normal Near normal High -0.1 
Low -8.8 
Mean -4.5
383.4 mm
St. John's Above normal Near normal High 0.0 
Low -7.2 
Mean -3.6
443.5 mm
Iqaluit Near normal Near normal High -21.0 
Low -29.4 
Mean -25.2
58.3 mm
Yellowknife Near normal Near normal High -19.2 
Low -27.6  
Mean -23.4
44.5 mm
Whitehorse Near normal Near normal High -5.1 
Low -17.8 
Mean -13.4
45.9 mm

2013 Winter precipitation outlook (right click to download).

2013 Winter precipitation outlook (right click to download).

Watch the Regional 2013/14 Winter Outlooks  : B.C. | Alberta | GTA | Atlantic

2013/14 Winter Outlook: British Columbia
2013/14 Winter Outlook: Alberta
2013/14 Winter Outlook: Greater Toronto Area
2013/14 Winter Outlook: Atlantic Canada

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